whatastorymark86
whatastorymark
whatastorymark86

If people actually listened to his podcast and read the articles, they would know that :) I appreciate 538 because the writers there strive to be objective.

At the time he wrote about it in late October, he gave a 10.5 percent chance that Trump would win the White House, but would lose the popular vote. 10.5% is not statistically insignificant. Moreover, he specifically noted that the odds of such a split were increasing prior to the election. http://fivethirtyeight.com

That poll was off for a variety of reasons (including that they gave too much weight to an African American Trump supporter). The other national polls were more accurate given that Clinton won the popular vote (she’s currently up by about 1 million votes, and it’s expected to increase as states like NJ, CO, WA, OR,

Agree. Marquette, for example, had Clinton up by 6 in Wisconsin. That was very off. The national polls were slightly off (other than LA Times, which was completely off), but not by much. Once the popular vote is fully counted, it looks like Clinton will win the national popular vote by about 1.5%.

Even worse: he’s reportedly going to appoint Giuliani as SOS. Giuliani has zero foreign policy experience, not to mention he’s a complete lunatic. My guess is Giuliani wants that position because he has a vendetta against Clinton (thanks to the 2000 Senate election), and Trump is more than willing to give him what

Silver constantly warned that this election was different given the volatility in the polls and the large amount of undecided voters. He also warned that there was a significant possibility that Trump would win the Electoral College, but would lose the popular vote. Nate Cohn at the Upshot, however, was completely

Not to mention he won’t be able to bring back coal jobs— another promise he made. Sure he can roll back environmental regulations, but that doesn’t deal with the price of natural gas or the lack of demand from China for our coal.

Lots of liquor. If they bring up politics, I’m not holding back. They based their decision on blind hatred of Hillary, and now they must live with the consequences of their votes.

I am not looking forward to next week (Thanksgiving) where I have to go home to a family full of Trump supporters. They’ll laugh about how they’re right, but they won’t be laughing in four years when Trump’s tax cuts cause a deficit, which will require cuts to things like Medicaid (which my grandmother needs for her

I’ve seen several Facebook posts with some variation of: “Sure Trump said some terrible things, but you millennials are just crybabies and need to get over yourselves. Let’s give Trump a chance to get rid of corruption in government.”

IIRC, his companies filed for chapter 11 six times :)

His supporters will engage in mental gymnastics to somehow rationalize why it’s okay for him to withhold emails, but it isn’t for Clinton to do the same. Just like how they are more than willing to turn a blind eye to the Trump Organization’s potential ties to foreign governments, while screaming into the void about

I don’t think it’s accurate to say that 20 million fewer people turned out. So far, we know about 128 million people voted in this election. 131 million voted in 2008, and 129 million voted in 2016. Importantly, the 2016 figure isn’t complete because they are still counting votes in CA (4 million votes

From what I read, Kushner’s father is still running the business

He’s always been a rough and tumble politician, and really is brilliant in terms of his machine in NV. But now that he is retiring he clearly gives zero fucks.

She will never sleep because she will have to constantly monitor Trump, who will be tweeting at all hours of the night. That’s poetic justice for her.

Yeah, and so was the election of the Nazi party in the 1930s...