It is in states like Nevada— where nearly 70 percent of the vote is the early vote.

I was terrified until I saw that the dems have an over 70k vote firewall in Clark county, nv (which is larger than 2012), and Dems are doing well in nc and fl early vote. If trump loses Nevada, he’s toast

I thankfully do not live in a battleground state so I don’t have to see so many ads. The Clinton ads are usually pretty well done— this one in particular is brutal:

All of his ads look like this. They’re all terrible.

Hai doggie!

I’ve been following Ralston’s blog re Nevada. It’s looking bad for Trump:

Says who?

I was nervous until (i) I saw the Marquette poll for Wisconsin today (Clinton is up by six, and Marquette is the gold standard in WI), (ii) Clinton has led in every single firewall state, and (iii) the early voting numbers in NV match the numbers from 2012.

And my conscience demands that I not watch any more of her shitty movies. She wants to fuck with the Democrats, then I’m not supporting her.

I’m not so sure he’s losing to Ross. The polls are kind of a mixed bag at the moment in NC— even the presidential race has somewhat tightened there. Keeping my fingers crossed that Dems and Dem leaning independents get out and vote.

It’s as if Trump wants to lose Utah. McMullin is a pretty close second in recent polls.

It isn’t that difficult to pass the bar exam...

Kushner was the one who essentially fired Lewandowski, and then Manafort. From the NY Magazine Article, which is a very good read:

New York, which sadly requires an excuse to vote early. Many states don’t require an excuse to vote early, and those states will likely have high turnout (like in NV, FL, and NC)

With everything from Benghazi to Wikileaks to this email “scandal,” it amazes me how much media attention these purported scandals receive when there’s really nothing there. And even if there were, it still pales in comparison to everything Trump has done. I wish my state had early voting because I just to get this…

honestly, truly

Actually, the real campaign manager (based on an article from Vanity Fair) is Jared Kushner— he’s always been the campaign manager.

That’s what I thought was the most surprising about this letter. That’s way more of a story than these emails will ever be.

True, but in a state like Nevada, early voting matters bigly because the Dems can build up an insurmountable firewall.

This is coming a little too late in the month to make a difference. Early voting is already underway, and Dems are turning out big time in NC, FL, and NV. She wins those states plus her firewall (PA, VA, NH, and CO), then she wins the presidency.