But in the end, it’s a losing strategy come November 2020

And the GOP is sweating over places like Oregon; if they were confident at all, they wouldn’t be dropping money there. They’re now scared for a lot of states that they’d assumed were gimmes. Add to that the blue-tilt phenomenon you just mentioned, and... nothing is certain.

You can energize the 41% all you want... you can shoot em up with meth, you can give em a caffeine IV, you can shove live wires into each hand and watch em dance to 220 volts... but that’s not going to make them multiply. They’ll just be an energized 41%.

I don’t disagree with anything you’ve said. But bear in mind that there are plenty of economic indicators pointing at a recession, and between now and the elections there’s almost certainly going to be a no-deal Brexit led by Boris fucking Johnson.

The economy isnt strong though. It is only strong for the ultra wealthy and corporations. Most Americans saw their taxes go up this year to partially pay for the Republican tax cuts and a lot of people were pissed that they were duped by the President. In fact, I wouldnt be surprised if we go into a recession before…

-A tax cut for the 1%

He probably shouldn’t count on Iowa in 2020 unless next year happens to have perfect weather.

Let’s not forget that Georgia, Arizona, and Texas (TEXAS) are on the cusp of tilting to the blue side. Texas could happen in 2020. That would be earth-shattering for the entire Republican party. Florida is also strongly in play. All of the “Blue Wall” states are back in play. Iowa and Indiana could also be two…

Things we’re tacitly avoiding by taking about Trump:

I still believe that Minnesota was a test case for Russian propaganda to try to turn that state red in 2018.

Fiddle, Nero, fiddle!

He isn’t completely immune, if he was, his approval rating would have gone above 50% at least once in his presidency. In 2016, he faced an opponent who was almost equally unpopular and didn’t bother campaigning in the midwest, and despite this he barely won Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin while also losing the…

THAT is how you attack him. 

Projection much???????????

I’m going by precedent: if the economy is “strong,” election favors the incumbent.

Heavily suppressed elections aren’t a concrete way to measure it, but he’s still an unpopular president who saw the “caravan immigrants are going to Sharia law you” strategy utterly fail to win anything in either Wisconsin or Michigan in the 2018 midterms.

I’m not. I’m peeing in my pants because Pelosi is playing pick-up-sticks.

Why wouldn’t he be? He’s utterly fucking immune to norms of political decency. Which is why he was able to all but destroy them.

I was listening to NPR this morning, and they interviewed a few Trump supporters at a gun shop about the racist tweets. Some said the economy was doing good so we should forgive him. Another said that be believes the that Trump misspoke and meant for the four congresswoman to return and fix their states. It felt like…

Given minorities in a house a hard time is literally the family business.