fatduck
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fatduck

By far, the most common statistical misconception is that random have memory, follows a pattern, or is influenced by the past. If you know that the odds of something happening is 50% (i.e. in coin flip), what are the odds of the next toss if you know the result of the last one? The Gambler's Fallacy is just too deep

“Statistics are used much like a drunk uses a lamppost: for support, not illumination.” —Vin Scully

When I still watched ESPN NFL pre-game, I loved the Matthew Berry fantasy football segment. This guy would tell you exactly who to start, who to sit, and who the sleepers for the week were. I'd watch it, take careful notes, and then do the exact opposite of what he said. Worked every time.

I don't think #8 is as likely as you think, due solely to security. Instead of your cell phone or tablet connecting to a set of speakers or turning on and off your TV, it now has the potential to control what can be boiled down to a 2 ton missile in the wrong hands. As an automaker, I would be highly reluctant to

Duh, show her your epic fuel economy score and the hyper-miling plots of your last 6 months of driving.

Manual transmissions are not going away. They're still the number 1 sellers in just about every country but the US. The cheapest, simplest cars and people living in remote parts of the world still need them: you can't push start anything but a manual car. Most Americans have no concept of things like push starting

renting is definitely buying you something: Freedom and mobility

And jumping to the top of my shopping list is a popcorn maker for my office.

A home is an asset. Assets are "investments".

Yeah, like an iphone, it's a depreciating asset that eventually is worth nothing without a major overhaul.

that's totally wrong.

I'll give this one a try. I was a big fan of StumbleUpon at the beginning. Recently I found I would "stumble" on advertisement pages far too often and decided to remove it. Thanks for this Shep

No, I think it says: "I'm writing from a crappy smartphone keyboard, so that's why I'm being very short and I may have made a few typos/errors and I may have ignored some netiquete, it's not because I'm retarded and can't compose a well written business e-mail... It's because I'm not on a computer, and I'm gonna go

"Sent from my iPhone" or "Sent from my Galaxy S4" aren't too bad. It's the once like "Sent via my DROID via Verizon Wireless LTE" that are a bit annoying lol

Why would an Egyptian military pilot be reporting to the FAA? The Federal Aviation Administration doesn't regulate foreign military aircraft in their own country.

As a police officer, this infuriates me. You can be pissed off at the government as much as you want, but endangering cops who are following orders to beat and kill protesters?

No, they're smart enough to raise the issue and have. They just don't have very big numbers for some reason...

Williams has been pimping his "I'm a professional black conservative! Feel good about yourselves, whitey! I take checks and am available for most klavern meetings! White people were the REAL slaves!" shtick for ages now. I hope he has to cry himself to sleep at night, but he think he sold his shame in a 2-for-1

Wow, the disconnect you had to get to in order to make that kind of reasoning is impressive.

Wait, what do the real victims get?