I mean, sure. Obviously, anytime we have any discussion on the American criminal justice system, race is the elephant in the room, and I don’t think many reasonable people would doubt that she would have likely at least served her full sentence (if not a longer sentence) if she were black (probably especially if the…

Biden’s obviously a flawed candidate. But so are all the other Democratic hopefuls. The question is whether he’s more flawed than all of the others, which is unknowable. In this process, you have to have faith in the idea that the person who receives the most votes in the primary will also receive the most votes in…

I understand the argument. I just haven’t found it compelling for reasons you mostly addressed. 

Eh...I can’t say that I’m “glad” she’s out. She told a horribly troubled boy she knew had a history of suicide attempts to kill himself. I’m not glad she’s anything. I’ve just never heard a compelling argument that says what she did fit the statute of the crime she was convicted of. 

I’m honestly surprised she served as long as she did. IANAL, but this has always felt like a case whose legal merits were never as strong as people wanted them to be, so once they finally got the conviction and her appeals of the conviction were more or less exhausted, she seemed like an almost instant candidate for…

That’s fundamentally irrational, but let’s carry the thought through to its end. If helping Biden helps Trump, how do you reconcile supporting Sanders, seeing as the polling would seem to indicate that helping Sanders helps Biden? Look at the RCP trend lines. When Warren was at her strongest, both Sanders and Biden wer…

Judge Pettit’s ruling argued that it shouldn’t be up to courts of law to decide if laws are fair: “It is not for the court to decide whether the Legislature’s enumeration of lewd conduct is wise or sound policy.” The statement does beg some questions around where one might go to challenge unfair laws if not court.

What I’m saying is that your examples are self-evidently poor. Not one of those elections had a field as large as this one, nor did any of them have candidates who entered the race with such a disproportionate advantage as the too old men in this one. Are we in agreement on those points? If not, thrill me with your…

The point is that I think it’s silly to compare her one-to-one with Crowley (as the other poster had). The point is that whatever she might be, what she is now is a celebrity who just so happens to hold a political office, and as useful as that can be at least in some ways, it can be easily overvalued.

, so here we are.

Sure. I don’t want to suggest that I think it’s unfair to expect her to be a person of great accomplishment when she’s just a freshman member of congress. Personally, I would be happy to hold her to the standards that I would hold all other freshman members of congress (e.g., my own congresswoman Lucy McBath) is I…

But Bernie has also been essential towards getting a new generation of Democrats elected to office.

Like I said, I think it’s the most reasonable conclusion for why Sanders has had such a low ceiling—even prior to Biden entering the race—despite being by far the most well-known (and presumably most popular) candidate in the race prior to Biden entering. If you can come up with an explanation for why 75-85 percent…

What is your definition of a big field? Because there famously wasn’t a big field in 1992. Nobody wanted to challenge HW Bush coming out of Desert Storm. Likewise (and putting aside how silly it is to compare 1987-88 to 2019-20), none of the bigger name candidates (i.e., Cuomo, Kennedy, etc.) chose to run in 1988.…

Why do you think Sanders remained in the race after the heart attack. His numbers dropped below 15 percent for the only time in the entire campaign. At that same moment, Warren passed 26 percent (peaking at 30 percent in several individual polls), giving her double the amount of support Sanders a 78-year-old man who…

I get the sentiment; however, the reality is that a giant field takes a candidate with built-in organizational advantages and makes him (or theoretically, her) much stronger than they otherwise would have been. It’s like playing poker at a table and coming in with a massive chip lead. If you have two candidates with…

Perceived honesty is obviously a weakness of hers. I’ve been saying that since she first entered the race. Whether she’s any less honest than any of the other candidates in the race, she will have to fight the perception that she’s dishonest, and I’ve never been confident in her political instincts to actually win…

That would definitely be a poll that bucked trends. Even with that poll included in the aggregate, RCP’s average still has Biden with a six-point lead over Sanders. That is, as it stands, an outlier.

With whom, exactly? Again, reasonable people can quibble over the first point. The devout will reject it out of hat, but nobody would ever accuse the “devout” of being altogether reasonable. That’s what makes them the devout.

I don’t think I’ve ever said he can’t break 20 percent nationally. I said he hasn’t scratched 25 percent. He’s been above 20 percent several different times. He’s topped out at 24. He’s lived most of the campaign since Biden entered in the mid to upper teens, and it’s notable that if you watch his and Biden’s trend…