I think that’s *probably* true, but if he ends up winning either IA or NH outright (let alone both), then he could withstand the ass kicking he will get in SC and might get some movement in NV. And if he comes out of the first four contests with two victories, he will get stronger in other states. 

In the world where that candidate (a) is 78 years old, (b) has a heart condition, (c) caps off a period of months that his polling numbers had been foundering with a proper heart attack, (d) sees a rival candidate with a nearly identical platform to his rising higher than he had risen at any point over the campaign…

His national floor is the mid-to-upper 20s. Sanders is nearly as well known as Biden, and his ceiling is the bottom 20s. Warren has a ceiling at about the same place as Biden’s floor, but again, that’s Biden’s floor. Warren’s ceiling. It’s also worth pointing out that people have paid way more attention to the 2019…

I don’t like any of their chances all that much, but I think Biden (such as he is) remains probably the safest bet. The degree to which his performance over the last six months seems to have demonstrated him to be bulletproof cannot be overlooked. I thought for sure the way he was tied up in the whole impeachment…

The most likely scenario in which they both lose to Buttigieg still has Biden winning. 

She’s going to need a strong January. I still feel like she’s probably the second most “electable” of the candidates, but she really needed Sanders to cooperate. And he is not cooperating.

The beauty of our empire is that we don’t actually rule over anybody. We also don’t share a land border or very narrow aquatic one from potential invaders. Plus, we have the capacity to kill everyone three times over. 

Well, given that the grandson that doesn’t matter in the grand scheme of things has made the opening move, what say you, William?

Who needs the Royals? The English—and, probably to a lesser extent, the Welsh. I mean, I think for the most part the younger and more progressive (as well as generally all of the Scottish and Northern Irish) Brits have no use for the Royals, but as recent general election history can attest, there are still lots of…

Wow. Lots and lots of people felt like they needed to explain to me that it was a technological achievement. Yeah. I was an adult back then, too. I remember. And I also remember that it made a lot of money in the early days of 3-D and IMAX 3-D upcharges.

I...didn’t suggest Adam Driver. I said he was too tall and jacked but acknowledged that he more closely resembled Dylan in the face. And yeah, Dylan has very distinctly (stereotypically) Jewish-looking facial features.

I think you’re misinterpreting that block quote. It talks about two distinct policies being tried and scrapped by different companies/organizations. One is a four-day work week. One is a six-hour day (and presumably a 30-hour week). 

That’s like Philip Seymour Hoffman (5’10") being cast to play Truman Capote (5'3"), only in this case Adam Driver is not only close to a foot taller than Dylan, he’s also kind of jacked.

I’m completely over the fact that they don’t look alike. If you read my comment, it was not a criticism of their dissimilarity. It was a criticism over what the casting suggests the movie will be about.

Whether he’s too hot or not is probably subjective, but he objectively does not look like him. And the fact that he’s unavoidably boyish looking ensures that the movie is going to focus entirely on the very beginning of Dylan’s career, which is already heavily mythologized in American popular culture. There may not…

The public’s relationship with Avatar is so weird. It made more money than any movie in history (a record it held until a few months ago), and I don’t know that I’ve ever met anybody who thought it was a really good movie worth seeing more than once. A couple weeks ago, I tried to watch it with my daughter (who had…

It’s not something you’re going to get the State to implement or enforce. Basically, the four-day work week is one of a series of policies (others being various options related to telecommuting and unlimited PTO) that companies are going to have to pilot themselves and demonstrate as both viable and profitable.

If you’re maintaining the 40-hour work week, which is how most four days on, three days off schedules work in the US, the four-day work week isn’t what it’s cracked up to be. Unless you work through lunch (and at some jobs, that’s simply not an option), you’re looking at an 11-hour day, and if you work in a major…

As somebody who has already voted for Stacy Abrams a couple different times, I still think if anybody is going to pick Abrams (and I don’t think anyone will), it will be Joe Biden. I know that there was a shaky media event following their meeting last year, but the thing with Abrams is that she’s got such limited…

Eh, I think he made the choice that he was running to be her VP back in late summer. I remember after one of the two-night debate things, there was some weird news item about how Warren had called him to say she thought he’d done a good job the night before.