Does he have the reach advantage? Paul is taller.

Robinson went to college on a football scholarship but switched to basketball, so while he did not play in the NFL, he was a talented football player. As for his build, he’s built more like an NFL corner at 5'9" 181. In this case, Robinson is the stockier man (Paul is 6'1" 185). The issue here has very little to do…

“If the violence of the popular uprising ends up breaking along tribal and regional lines, (e.g. support for the Senussi in Cyrenaica), and if that outcome is inevitable, then the difference becomes moot, inevitably, c.f. most Civil Wars in the region.”

Don’t move the goalposts. Maybe we need to reset the confines of this discussion. You told me I was conflating civil war and popular revolution. Your response that the violence broke along tribal lines is both incomplete - violence has broken across political and ideological, as much as tribal, lines...I don’t know…

“Obama’s only mistake - something he recognized after the fact - was not following up to support a peaceful transition.”

Your assessment of Libya is wildly off-base. As you may know, there was a popular revolution happening there. We supported it, rightly. Omitting this fact is telling, because it undercuts your thesis that Libya was stable. Stable regimes are not engaged in revolutionary civil war. Obama’s only mistake - something he…

“ I think it’s absolutely possible for Dems to both address those local concerns so those moderate voters from that largest voting demographic come out to vote for them, and to do so in a way that does not compromise the concerns of voter blocs elsewhere, which is what this all is about in the end.”

Lol write=right. Damned autocorrect. 

You have a perspective on Rowling that is informed by your distaste for her comments, clearly. Asserting that anyone who disagrees with your specific interpretation of her work is stupid and racist is the height of narcissistic hubris. If YOU knew a single thing about European mythology, you would know how stupid your…

They are not coded Jewish in the books. They are goblins. In European myth, goblins are often hoarders obsessed with shiny things.

Could not be said better. 

Trump received more votes because a larger number of conservatives came out and voted. Very few republicans decamped, and more came out, this is not in dispute. However, in terms of voter share Trump absolutely did not pick up moderates and independents. Biden won because he turned HRC’s narrow victory among moderates…

I haven’t heard that. My understanding is that the Biden program is going to be a fairly straightforward mix of progressive and moderate policy. As for the math, you’re right that it depends entirely on the state. My point is really about what you tend to see in the places that are contested, and what you see in most…

Exit polls do account for mail-in ballots according to NYT.

For real, by tagging me as a troll you undermine everything I have said or will say -- you’ve got all the power in this space, as you are well aware. You’ve got no basis for this other than the fact I got into an argument over exit poll data? I made no personal insults, I did not advocate for any illiberal cause. At…

100% not a troll. I’ve been commenting here for years. Sometimes I agree, sometimes I don’t. Hell, we’ve agreed multiple times in the past, so that cuts a bit deep, to be honest. I can be a little combative at times, sure, but that’s not exactly different from many of the other commenters here. We have strong…

Exit polls are conducted by phone as well to account for this, expressly, but it is true that they will be skewed a bit. However, given that the percentages in say, PA, of moderates, dems, independents, whites, blacks, etc. as a share of the vote are largely stable from last cycle, and given that these exit polls…

Not sure what your point is here. I am not defending the republicans, or McTreason. I am making a point about the way Biden is going to have to govern based on the realities of the environment he inherits. He will need to make compromises in order to drive elements of his agenda. Some things he can do without…

The majority of white people don’t vote democrat, but the majority of those who vote democrat are in fact white.

In an age where no one reads past the headlines and people rely on Twitter for news, it’s foolish to expect a largely moderate country to understand and support “Defund the Police.” Of course the slogan isn’t about abolition, but it’s easy for bad actors to draw that line in order to get others riled up. The fact is…