THANK you for this! It worked for me also.

Only white men read The Athletic, apparently?

OPS+ corrects for park effects though, right?

“Is it the possibility that he shares his appearance with his audience”

Depends whose things they are.

Thanks for this thoughtful, well-researched treatment. It makes me wonder why nobody’s come up with a standardized quantitative metric for appraising contract value. Seems like something that could be modeled, using data from prior contracts, with realized value per year as the dependent variable. It wouldn’t be a…

Maybe just don’t use it if you don’t find it useful?

Ogre is life.

I used the occurrence rates you suggested: “7 times out of approximately 150,000. In the second decade, it’s occurred 12 times in approximately 120,000.”

It’s not statistically significant, but it’s actually pretty close. Using a standard test and the numbers you suggested (.0047% on a sample of 150K, and .01% on a sample of 120K), the difference (.0053%) is not significant at the 95% level of confidence, but it is at the 80% level.

But then I will kill him if he comes to the theatre with his 1yr old.

Agreed. There’s question the Warriors will be favored, even in the road games, if that’s the Finals matchup.

It is conceivable that Highsmith thinks Rosen should have taken care to present himself to the coach and make an impression on him, like he was dating the guy’s daughter or something?

I proudly rock my Buffalo Braves hat.

Ha!

Not contesting your point, but at a rate of 39/1755, the odds of four consecutive is 1 in 5,118,200. That ignores park effects, pitchers, etc., of course— but useful as a ballpark notion of the likelihood. Impressive.

well, it’s not redundant because underage boy.

RIP in peace.

And neither does running their mouths.

I mean, unless there’s more than one adult in the house. If it’s 1/3 abstainers, the odds of two randomly selected adults both being teetotalers is only 1/9, leaving an upper limit of 89%. Of course, drinking habits are likely correlated across cohabitants, so the true answer is somewhere in between.