Hannah, I’m disappointed in the clickbait title. Claiming these agencies “did not present evidence” is not merely misleading but untrue. You are spreading same sort of misinformation that drives clicks for conspiracy bloggers and Fox News.
Hannah, I’m disappointed in the clickbait title. Claiming these agencies “did not present evidence” is not merely misleading but untrue. You are spreading same sort of misinformation that drives clicks for conspiracy bloggers and Fox News.
Thank you for everything, Carrie. For your bravery and charm and your refusal to shut up or give up. For lifting the veil off mental illness. For refusing to be ashamed. And most of all for showing my daughter that being a princess isn’t just about finding a prince. You will be so missed.
Read the comments that follow, both his and the replies of some well known people you should be reading.
They weren’t wrong. They had the most conservative model out there—and they worked with the data they had. In the week before the election, Hillary supporters were actually MAD at Silver for not having her chance of winning higher. And, yes, they do not understand probabilities.
Kellyanne Conway is likely lying anyway. By most accounts the internal polling within the Trump campaign and the RNC predicted a Clinton victory too.
IT IS NOT NATE SILVER’S FAULT THAT PEOPLE DON’T UNDERSTAND PROBABILITIES. He gave Trump a higher chance of winning the presidency than the Cubs had of coming back and winning the World Series after Game 4 and we literally all JUST saw that happen. He doesn’t conduct the polls, he aggregates them, and there was no way…
I keep reading about 538 (and others) being wrong, but as far as I know all they said was that Hillary had a 70% or so chance of winning. That’s not the same as saying she was going to win, so how exactly were they wrong?
Silver constantly warned that this election was different given the volatility in the polls and the large amount of undecided voters. He also warned that there was a significant possibility that Trump would win the Electoral College, but would lose the popular vote. Nate Cohn at the Upshot, however, was completely…
Nate Silver’s model was the only one which gave Trump a good chance of winning. Take it up with the Huffington Post and Sam Wang; they gave Clinton close to a 99% chance of winning....
Putting random copy in a as placeholder can become an issue. I know for experience.
Maybe we can get a special edition of Doctor Strange with a Tibetan actor in the role of the Ancient One. It'd be faithful to the comics and I’m sure Beijing would love having one of their citizens featured so prominently in such a high profile film.