You are completely ignoring that PECOTA will project improvements for Bryant, Soler, Russell and Baez in their 2nd year. If you expect regression from the older pitching, you have to project advancement for their young hitting.

The Paul Konerko/Rizzo comparison is laughable. Konerko had just one year that compares to Rizzo’s last year, and then you are ignoring the massive upgrade defensively. Put simply, Konerko’s best stretch from 20010-2012, he compiled a fWar of 8.3 Rizzo’s over the last TWO years was 11.2

There is a baffling shortage of logical thought here.