Please dismiss the far-right troll “Max Contrarian”. He’s here to spew misinformation and apologia for human rights abuses. 

Please dismiss “Max Contrarian” a far-right troll that, the past few days, has really loved trying to pop up in my sub-threads. Don’t give him the space for his bullshit. 

“Slavedom” is not a word. Slavery is a word. Serfdom is a word. I know this is pedantic. But I guess because my moral outrage is already overflowing that particular bit of stupidity is getting the overflow.

Yeah, I don’t for one second believe the person ignorant of the basic contours of analysis is a political scientist by training. This kind of charlatanesque bluster would never have flown in my department. 

Clinton won by 3 million votes. Post-mortems of the Clinton campaigns failures were numerous, some better than others, but what you’re doing is just how charlatan’s behave. You can’t discredit an entire process and system from a single result. 2018 used a data-driven process too, and was a historic victory. For fuck’s…

Hard to say if it’s a net gain for society, but it can be for people. If you’re a would-be analyst/wonk like me the ability to access people from all over the world and their expertise is invaluable. If you want a better picture of the war in Yemen someone on the ground in Aden or Sana’a tweeting local news and events…

They are. Their read of the situation, and one that I can see a lot of logic behind, leads them directly against your reading. It’s not really possible to say completely who is right and who is wrong, but the political strategist game isn’t one of hunches. There’s a lot of data behind most tactics, even if they turn…

It’s meaningful if the issue has widespread ID. I don’t know that that’s explicitly the case, I’m sure someone’s polled a relevant question but most don’t, but the other data does suggest it does. Trump’s proclivities are well known, whether you loathe them or support them. Just the amount of airtime on Fox is…

Yes. The amount of fluctuation in the polling strongly suggests that the electorate hasn’t fully sorted on that issue. Support has kept edging up over time. A concerted push, like impeach hearings, could drive that harder. Trump’s unpopularity means even some of the opposition to impeachment is likely soft. That also…

I’d argue a large part of what makes Google so resilient is the perceptions of the company, even if most of them are naive or wrong. The whole “quirky fun tech company” image gives them a lot of operating space that an oil company or airline doesn’t get.

Because the support is soft! I don’t know how to explain it any more simply than I am. The data I’ve been watching for months does not show signs of solidified sorting yet.

Whether they are cowards or not, that’s the system we live in. You can demand they act the way they should until you’re blue in the face, but it’s just wasted energy. You’ve gotta plan with the hand you’re dealt.

No, it’s not, but little fluctuation in numbers over a period of time suggests he’s hit his floor. I’m not conflating the two. I haven’t seen movement on that front in awhile. Is it possible there is some when we’re closer to election day and more of the public tunes in? Definitely. But if that’s the case there’s no…

That entire fiasco was a particular display of incompetence. Google should recognize their cultural and corporate cache is at risk the more they behave like that. Sure, their bottom-line will be fine and legal action is a remote risk, but a company like Google needs their reputation as being quirky and better than…

If you make them mad today, and tomorrow, and the next day, for the next 6 months, people will just tune out. I keep using the phrase “diminishing returns” for a reason. If you want to leverage the emotional angle Democrats are absolutely right not to take their shot now, other than some vague statements of how it’s…

None of the data I’ve seen suggest there’s “a lot more room”. Views of Trump are solidified. There’s a reason he’s hit his floor of support. Impeachment on the other hand is still fluctuating.

Sexual assault by Trump has been a story since the campaign. The story that just broke popped into headlines and is already receding. If it was different enough to catch public attention I’m not seeing the evidence yet. It could pop back up, the news cycle is unpredictable, but that seems unlikely unless something new…

Emotion has already been generated on the issue. The electorate has already sorted on the issue. If you’re using this purely to generate excitement, you’re not doing it right now you’re doing it much later. The utility to do it right now, outside of symbolic moral messaging, is weak to nil. No one, out of the many…

But where is the evidence this is something that will “get bodies to the polls”? I get that people want to believe we’re good enough, as a country and as the voting public, to be motivated by awful things like this. But I’ve spent too much time looking at data and polls to believe that. The voting public is fickle,…

On the very slight chance this is a good faith comment, I explain that in another comment below.