1) Theoretical limits are expensive, but only from an R&D and bleeding edge standpoint. End of the day the technology is already quite competitive and has plenty of room to improve. EVs are already cost competitive in the premium car market (hence the best selling premium car in US is electric), and there is plenty of…

The problem is that you are using google’s calculation vs evtrip planners calculations that can vary. For reference, they are both using the same exact route. So the difference in time is simply a difference in algorithm (EV trip planners likes to be conservative with the time, Tesla’s calculator you can only do Model…

1) To some extent, but remember there is a difference between peak efficiency and typical efficiency. The thing about powerplants is they operate almost always near peak efficiency. In comparison, the same can’t be said about an ICE engine. Now obviously a battery would help improve efficiency of the engine, but that…

You are maybe thinking of NIMH batteries used in hybrids? Those have rare earth metals. LION batteries used in BEVs and PHEVs do not have any rare earth metals.

1) And physics stands in the way of gasoline cars efficiency and perpetual motion machines, so? The question comes down to theoretical limits, and there is nothing preventing EVs with chemical batteries to be successful.

That is a myth stemming from back when Tesla made their first profit in 2013 with help of the credits. If you actually look at 2018Q3 and Q4, both have been profitable even if you subtract the credits.

1) Sure, but ICE would never be able to reach the efficiency of an BEV.

There is nothing in economics or physics that stop EVs from taking over even with chemical batteries. The economics are actually in favor of EVs. The only reason why they are expensive now is due to lack of economies of scale plus expenses into R&D that have not been accounted for. But once economies of scale…

1) Sure, but we are talking about 20 years into the future, not 5 years. Hybrids might be a thing in the short term, but long term as EVs continue to improve that will shift.

I’m sorry, but that is a myth.

1) Plugging that into EV trip planner, a Model 3 can do that trip in 21 hours and 43 minutes. If you use that charging time for lunch breaks, it’s not that much of a difference. (Note: these numbers will improve as v3 superchargers come online)

2) Not sure what you are talking about, but as far as lithium ion batteries…

I don’t think that is necessary. We have to remember that gas cars did not need to be able to 100% replicate horses to take over, nor did smartphones need to do everything feature phones do. My smartphone battery lasts 1-3 days max, my feature phone lasted 2 weeks easily. And yet how many people still uses horses or…

If you are even allowed to stop in a gas car in front of a school in the first place. Many cities are already banning the use of ICE engines in city limits by 2025-2040. I also won’t be surprised if schools ban them within their limits due to the toxic exhaust exposure.

Maybe, but his son that was born 2 weeks ago won’t be driving a car when he is 11. And I assure you, by 2024, most new cars sold will be HEV/PHEV/BEV.

Oh god no! The funny thing is, more americans know how many meters are in a km than how many feet/yards are in a mile. And yet we still continue to use it...

I wouldn’t say that, more closely put it would be more like CDs. Which will than be replaced by DVDs and then BluRay.

2 million trucks out of 17 million cars? You are saying you need to cover 10% to go mainstream and 90% isn’t enough?

How I imagine the future:

Some thing simply take time. Imagine we made parallel port a standard instead of USB.

That’s a bold statement, and obviously an oversimplification, since there are still problems with infrastructure beyond those associated with long-haul trips, and EVs are rather expensive, especially compared to the used ICE market.