1. It's not bullying to simply not get on with someone. That takes active unpleasantness, which was never shown on camera. For actual examples of bullying on Survivor, see for example Alicia and Colton vs Christina in One World. The worst that can be said of Jenn and Hali is they were perhaps not an sensitive as they…

I think Tyler has a good feel for the game, but he's risk averse. I think he's going to see his opportunity to flip but not take it, and it's going to kill his game.

Yeah, Carolyn doesn't entirely make sense to me. She hates Shirin, but it's not like her current alliance is that bothered about getting rid of her either (I know Shirin's name came up tonight, but it's clear they want the no collars gone first). Shirin is probably remaining in the game for at least a couple more…

There used to be a theory on Reality News Online that the winner always had a 'million dollar quote' in episode 1. Joe and Mike were the two players in episode 1 who had quotes in which they talked about winning the game, and how they intended to win it. (Dan did mention villains winning the game, also).

Mike is looking so obviously like the winner right now that if there isn't a massive upset, I'm going to be really disappointed in this season.

Dan doesn't really have a point though, because there's no benefit to him in Shirin joining them either (unless they were hoping to split the vote this week somehow) – he's already in both a majority alliance and majority sub-alliance (assuming he's expecting the blue collars to stick together). Dan's game only…

I think it was fine for Tyler to stay with the blue collars this vote as it was Hali going, and Tyler is safe as long as both Joe and Mike are in the game, and in opposition to each other. The risk for Tyler is once Joe is gone, leaving him as the most obvious threat to Mike's challenge domination.

Are you that Nina?

Re. Dan and Shirin, my theory goes thusly:

I really don't understand where the 'bitchy' is coming from. yeah, Jenn is snarky, but that's just her sense of humour rather than active unpleasantness, and she mostly saves it for confessionals anyway. I haven't seen Hali or Joe do anything that I'd remotely term 'bitchy'.

Oh, Rodney. Who wasn't unsurprised that his first choice of new ally was the one penis he hadn't met yet?

Tony's #spyshack2 for me – I got how he managed to hide and spy on people heading to the waterhole, but…was the cameraman hiding in the spy shack as well? What about the cameraman following the others?

If she can keep from stabbing him, Dan would be a perfect ally for Sierra really. He'll be certain he's dragging her to the end as a goat, 'cos she's a girl, completely unaware that he's HER goat. If only she were willing to work with Rodney too, for a true Alliance of the Damned.

I think they're hopelessly outmatched, Will or no Will, honestly. NC did win two challenges with his participation in the first episode.

That's the one. Thanks.

Tyler and Hali are both relatively quiet in challenges and around camp, but give lots of confessionals that show insight and an understanding of how to play the game. That's what makes me rate them. They're surrounded by lots of other more visibly dangerous players though, which is an advantage Josh never had.

Because that only works until the merge, when he runs away again? There's a tiny chance Carolyn might be loyal.

Why vote off Will? The merge is coming, and they have enough disposable players to vote off until then.

I'm sympathetic towards Max. He was so busy living his dream of being on Survivor (and working out which lines he wanted to get on television), he forgot to play the game. But I bet he had a lot of fun.

I think it's the difference between 45 mins of Shirin a week, and 24 hours of Shirin all the time.