At the end Silver had the odds at about 70-30 in favor of Clinton, while PredictIt tightened up after the first Comey letter, but was back up above 80% close to the election.
At the end Silver had the odds at about 70-30 in favor of Clinton, while PredictIt tightened up after the first Comey letter, but was back up above 80% close to the election.
Silver had Trump at about a 2-1 underdog, while betting markets were offering over 4-1, so there was strong positive expected value according to Nate's model.
They'll care when it happens to them, although without a doubt they'll blame the wrong people for it.
What's more, if there's some kind of disaster, natural or otherwise, the government is going to be completely dysfunctional. So white men who voted for him will be fucked too.
Congratulations to Nate Silver, who took a lot of shit for saying Trump had a real chance while everyone else had Clinton at 80% or more. Hope he put his money where his stats are cashed a big fat bet on Trump.
And in Nevada, it looks like Heck is losing and marijuana passed, so I'm proud of my home state tonight.
Yeah, if there was ever an episode that deserved to be preempted in much of the country, this is the one.
I hear you. My heart's not in it, but at least it takes my mind off the tragedy if just for a moment.
Probably almost as exciting for her as being hugged by a sloth.
"Instead, we got a blaring alarm clock to wake us up from complacency as the nightmare unfolds."
Jeopardy! recap for Tue., Nov. 8 - Low-scoring affair that saw Stephanie rally from the minus column after round one to take the lead in DJ after a strong performance in a category about Cleveland.
They didn't drop the MacFarlane shows all at once, so it wasn't really an embargo.
You know who should be working at the car wash? Whoever at ABC greenlighted Conviction and Notorious.
Jeopardy! alert: there's a link to tonight's episode in the comment section under the Tuesday recap for those of you who will have the episode preempted in your area:
There's even a betting line on if there will be a concession speech. Right now I'm leaning against it.
"Since the Fonz was the key to the show’s success, he developed almost
supernatural abilities…"
Sorry, I don't want Trump's hair in my pizza, even if it's made out of cheese.
I prefer the words in the second paragraph, "By Trump’s own estimate", which likely makes all crowd estimates of those rallies bullshit.
This just in: Trump is suing the Clark County, NV registrar for keeping the early voting polls open too long, even though state law requires that anyone in line to vote at closing time be allowed to vote.
I'd certainly prefer to listen to the Analyze Phish podcast than Analyze Trump.