Ok, that sounds "huge." 14.5%. One out of every seven games ending in a SO. Thanks for crunching the numbers.
I am struck by how much these findings resemble the well-established lessons of mutual fund investing: broad-based index funds always out-perform the vast majority of actively managed funds. Sure, a few stock pickers beat the average, but the overwhelming proportion do worse. Obviously, in picking the tournament,…
You're looking at a chart from Stephen Pettigrew's look at 11 million brackets yesterday. Pay special attention to the spike at 680 points, though. It's the strangest damn thing you'll see today.
What's interesting is how much better chalk is than either group, meaning, despite the #7 vs #8 matchup the selection committee probably knows more about what they are doing than the experts.